Real Life Trading Blog
Yates CraigSideways chop and consolidation has been the name of the game for the last two weeks. SPY has rejected the key 2015 analog target of $604 twice now and has closed below the 10-day EMA three times since last Friday. That’s notable considering SPY hadn’t even really tested the 10-day EMA—outside of a brief one-day dip on May 23rd—for two months, since the April 23rd gap up.
Yates CraigNew Blog Post Description
Yates CraigSure, it was a fairly routine day for most stocks — but TSLA isn’t “most stocks.” It’s a breed of its own. And today, it took center stage as the poster child of volatility. TSLA closed down 14.26% after its CEO, a man you may have heard of, Elon Musk, started publicly feuding on X with none other than President Donald Trump.
Yates CraigBack in April when the market was falling hard, Jerremy compared the setup to Brexit—and we were both saying it looked like a very buyable event. That Brexit analog has continued to play out nicely. But now, we may be looking at an even more bullish setup, one more similar to the Covid recovery. If either of these scenarios is playing out, we should push higher for at least another 1–2 weeks. The Covid analog points to a move toward $630 before a meaningful pullback. The Brexit analog suggests a push to around $605. Let’s break each one down to get a better idea of where we could be headed. History, and stock charts tend to rhyme, so let's find some poetry together.
Yates CraigThe next five to ten years may be the final stretch where the economic system still resembles what we know. This is our window. Now is the time to earn aggressively, invest strategically, and accumulate assets that can thrive in a post-AI world. Blog Post Description
Yates CraigGiven that the current probabilities favor the next dip being a buying opportunity (with a lower chance of a significant breakdown), now is the time to strategize our entry points, target buy levels, and set our stop and alert levels. As long as we manage risk effectively, the next pullback should offer a compelling risk-reward scenario heading into the summer and early fall. However, we must remain vigilant. A sharp, vertical drop triggered by negative news could quickly shift the probabilities towards a retest of the lows or even a deeper correction. We'll be closely monitoring the nature of any pullbacks in the coming weeks.
Real Life Trading Blog
Yates CraigSideways chop and consolidation has been the name of the game for the last two weeks. SPY has rejected the key 2015 analog target of $604 twice now and has closed below the 10-day EMA three times since last Friday. That’s notable considering SPY hadn’t even really tested the 10-day EMA—outside of a brief one-day dip on May 23rd—for two months, since the April 23rd gap up.
Yates CraigNew Blog Post Description
Yates CraigSure, it was a fairly routine day for most stocks — but TSLA isn’t “most stocks.” It’s a breed of its own. And today, it took center stage as the poster child of volatility. TSLA closed down 14.26% after its CEO, a man you may have heard of, Elon Musk, started publicly feuding on X with none other than President Donald Trump.
Yates CraigBack in April when the market was falling hard, Jerremy compared the setup to Brexit—and we were both saying it looked like a very buyable event. That Brexit analog has continued to play out nicely. But now, we may be looking at an even more bullish setup, one more similar to the Covid recovery. If either of these scenarios is playing out, we should push higher for at least another 1–2 weeks. The Covid analog points to a move toward $630 before a meaningful pullback. The Brexit analog suggests a push to around $605. Let’s break each one down to get a better idea of where we could be headed. History, and stock charts tend to rhyme, so let's find some poetry together.
Yates CraigThe next five to ten years may be the final stretch where the economic system still resembles what we know. This is our window. Now is the time to earn aggressively, invest strategically, and accumulate assets that can thrive in a post-AI world. Blog Post Description
Yates CraigGiven that the current probabilities favor the next dip being a buying opportunity (with a lower chance of a significant breakdown), now is the time to strategize our entry points, target buy levels, and set our stop and alert levels. As long as we manage risk effectively, the next pullback should offer a compelling risk-reward scenario heading into the summer and early fall. However, we must remain vigilant. A sharp, vertical drop triggered by negative news could quickly shift the probabilities towards a retest of the lows or even a deeper correction. We'll be closely monitoring the nature of any pullbacks in the coming weeks.
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