Real Life Trading Blog

Market Milestones – Pursuing Poetry

Yates Craig

Published on: 30/05/2025

Back in April when the market was falling hard, Jerremy compared the setup to Brexit—and we were both saying it looked like a very buyable event. That Brexit analog has continued to play out nicely. But now, we may be looking at an even more bullish setup, one more similar to the Covid recovery. If either of these scenarios is playing out, we should push higher for at least another 1–2 weeks. The Covid analog points to a move toward $630 before a meaningful pullback. The Brexit analog suggests a push to around $605. Let’s break each one down to get a better idea of where we could be headed. History, and stock charts tend to rhyme, so let's find some poetry together.

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: AI Revolution

Yates Craig

Published on: 23/05/2025

The next five to ten years may be the final stretch where the economic system still resembles what we know. This is our window. Now is the time to earn aggressively, invest strategically, and accumulate assets that can thrive in a post-AI world. Blog Post Description

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: Bull vs Bear

Yates Craig

Published on: 16/05/2025

Given that the current probabilities favor the next dip being a buying opportunity (with a lower chance of a significant breakdown), now is the time to strategize our entry points, target buy levels, and set our stop and alert levels. As long as we manage risk effectively, the next pullback should offer a compelling risk-reward scenario heading into the summer and early fall. However, we must remain vigilant. A sharp, vertical drop triggered by negative news could quickly shift the probabilities towards a retest of the lows or even a deeper correction. We'll be closely monitoring the nature of any pullbacks in the coming weeks.

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: Fear to Greed

Yates Craig

Published on: 09/05/2025

Sentiment in the markets flips on a dime. Just one month ago, we were at a 3—deep in “extreme fear” on the Fear & Greed Index. Today, we’re at 62, firmly in “greed.”

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: Death Cross

Yates Craig

Published on: 02/05/2025

We also saw a Death Cross on the QQQ on April 14th. I joked that day that the market is now destined to go to zero—but in reality, it’s an interesting indicator, even if it is overhyped and over-discussed. It’s not a tool to time market tops or bottoms, but it can help gauge big-picture direction. Today, we’re going to compare the 2022 Death Cross with today’s setup and look for key similarities and differences.

Market Milestones

Hammer Time

Yates Craig

Published on: 26/04/2025

The markets finished the week strong after bouncing off the 100-week SMA. There are three days left in the month, but as it stands, SPY and QQQ are printing massive monthly hammer candles. I went back through history to find similar massive hammer candles and study how they behaved.

Market Milestones

Real Life Trading Blog

Market Milestones – Pursuing Poetry

Yates Craig

Published on: 30/05/2025

Back in April when the market was falling hard, Jerremy compared the setup to Brexit—and we were both saying it looked like a very buyable event. That Brexit analog has continued to play out nicely. But now, we may be looking at an even more bullish setup, one more similar to the Covid recovery. If either of these scenarios is playing out, we should push higher for at least another 1–2 weeks. The Covid analog points to a move toward $630 before a meaningful pullback. The Brexit analog suggests a push to around $605. Let’s break each one down to get a better idea of where we could be headed. History, and stock charts tend to rhyme, so let's find some poetry together.

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: AI Revolution

Yates Craig

Published on: 23/05/2025

The next five to ten years may be the final stretch where the economic system still resembles what we know. This is our window. Now is the time to earn aggressively, invest strategically, and accumulate assets that can thrive in a post-AI world. Blog Post Description

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: Bull vs Bear

Yates Craig

Published on: 16/05/2025

Given that the current probabilities favor the next dip being a buying opportunity (with a lower chance of a significant breakdown), now is the time to strategize our entry points, target buy levels, and set our stop and alert levels. As long as we manage risk effectively, the next pullback should offer a compelling risk-reward scenario heading into the summer and early fall. However, we must remain vigilant. A sharp, vertical drop triggered by negative news could quickly shift the probabilities towards a retest of the lows or even a deeper correction. We'll be closely monitoring the nature of any pullbacks in the coming weeks.

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: Fear to Greed

Yates Craig

Published on: 09/05/2025

Sentiment in the markets flips on a dime. Just one month ago, we were at a 3—deep in “extreme fear” on the Fear & Greed Index. Today, we’re at 62, firmly in “greed.”

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: Death Cross

Yates Craig

Published on: 02/05/2025

We also saw a Death Cross on the QQQ on April 14th. I joked that day that the market is now destined to go to zero—but in reality, it’s an interesting indicator, even if it is overhyped and over-discussed. It’s not a tool to time market tops or bottoms, but it can help gauge big-picture direction. Today, we’re going to compare the 2022 Death Cross with today’s setup and look for key similarities and differences.

Market Milestones

Hammer Time

Yates Craig

Published on: 26/04/2025

The markets finished the week strong after bouncing off the 100-week SMA. There are three days left in the month, but as it stands, SPY and QQQ are printing massive monthly hammer candles. I went back through history to find similar massive hammer candles and study how they behaved.

Market Milestones

CONTACT ↓

Let's trade together.

Manage Subscriptions

* All investments carry a certain level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values. Please consider your objectives and risk tolerance before investing. Past performance is not indicative of future results.