Real Life Trading Blog

Market Milestones: Bitcoin Bull Market Support

Yates Craig

Published on: 04/09/2025

September has historically been a weak month for Bitcoin and this one is setting up no differently. The current double top is playing out with a clean neckline retest on September 3rd. The double top measured move targets the $95k–$100k range. This is where multiple supports converge: the 50-week EMA, the 100-SMA on the 3D chart, the YTD anchored VWAP, and the cycle trendline that has held this entire bull market.

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: Waiting on Jerome

Yates Craig

Published on: 22/08/2025

If we break above Wednesday’s hammer on SPY, we likely push toward $650. If we break below, $620 comes into play. NVDA earnings next Wednesday after the close will complicate things further—how the stock trades will almost certainly sway the market’s next big move. Time will tell, but September could finally deliver the pullback everyone has been waiting for.

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: Bull Trap

Yates Craig

Published on: 15/08/2025

On Thursday, BTC gave us a bull trap. It’s done so four other times in this cycle and twice—very notably—in the last cycle. Both the April and November 2021 tops had this exact pattern: an all-time-high trap followed by major drawdowns. Each time we’ve seen this bull trap, the market has dropped, broken its prior higher low, and seen the RSI dip to oversold (27 on the daily chart)

Market Milestones

Maket Milestones: Reversal?

Yates Craig

Published on: 01/08/2025

The dip—which has taken longer to show up than I’d like—may finally be around the corner. It’s been about as elusive since April as Bigfoot, but the signs are adding up right now.

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: Easy Money

Yates Craig

Published on: 25/07/2025

When the market is going up, it feels like it’ll never stop going up. When it’s going down, it feels like it’ll never stop going down. Well, as long as we’re printing trillions and debasing the currency, the market likely won’t stop going up over the long term—it just won’t be a straight line.

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: Best I Can Do

Yates Craig

Published on: 18/07/2025

I’m not asking for much here. Just a humble 5–10% drop in the overall market to reset this incredible run and give us the legs to push even higher into 2026. Based on seasonality, the current run-up, and the pullbacks we saw in both July 2023 and July 2024, I still think a dip could arrive later this month or in early August.

Market Milestones

Real Life Trading Blog

Market Milestones: Bitcoin Bull Market Support

Yates Craig

Published on: 04/09/2025

September has historically been a weak month for Bitcoin and this one is setting up no differently. The current double top is playing out with a clean neckline retest on September 3rd. The double top measured move targets the $95k–$100k range. This is where multiple supports converge: the 50-week EMA, the 100-SMA on the 3D chart, the YTD anchored VWAP, and the cycle trendline that has held this entire bull market.

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: Waiting on Jerome

Yates Craig

Published on: 22/08/2025

If we break above Wednesday’s hammer on SPY, we likely push toward $650. If we break below, $620 comes into play. NVDA earnings next Wednesday after the close will complicate things further—how the stock trades will almost certainly sway the market’s next big move. Time will tell, but September could finally deliver the pullback everyone has been waiting for.

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: Bull Trap

Yates Craig

Published on: 15/08/2025

On Thursday, BTC gave us a bull trap. It’s done so four other times in this cycle and twice—very notably—in the last cycle. Both the April and November 2021 tops had this exact pattern: an all-time-high trap followed by major drawdowns. Each time we’ve seen this bull trap, the market has dropped, broken its prior higher low, and seen the RSI dip to oversold (27 on the daily chart)

Market Milestones

Maket Milestones: Reversal?

Yates Craig

Published on: 01/08/2025

The dip—which has taken longer to show up than I’d like—may finally be around the corner. It’s been about as elusive since April as Bigfoot, but the signs are adding up right now.

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: Easy Money

Yates Craig

Published on: 25/07/2025

When the market is going up, it feels like it’ll never stop going up. When it’s going down, it feels like it’ll never stop going down. Well, as long as we’re printing trillions and debasing the currency, the market likely won’t stop going up over the long term—it just won’t be a straight line.

Market Milestones

Market Milestones: Best I Can Do

Yates Craig

Published on: 18/07/2025

I’m not asking for much here. Just a humble 5–10% drop in the overall market to reset this incredible run and give us the legs to push even higher into 2026. Based on seasonality, the current run-up, and the pullbacks we saw in both July 2023 and July 2024, I still think a dip could arrive later this month or in early August.

Market Milestones

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