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The Prosperity Portfolio is a long-term swing trading system that focuses exclusively on the QQQ. This long-only strategy aims to outperform the market by staying out during bearish periods and remaining invested during bullish trends. Unlike traditional buy-and-hold strategies, it actively manages downside risk, making it ideal for long-term investors seeking steady growth with reduced volatility. With only a handful of trades each year, it’s a time-efficient resource for those who want to grow their portfolio without the need for frequent trading.
YOLO, short for “you only live once,” paired with MOMO, short for “momentum,” defines the essence of the YOLO MOMO Portfolio. This momentum-driven, aggressive swing trading strategy focuses on capturing significant moves in the market’s strongest-performing tech stocks. With an emphasis on relative strength and excellent risk-reward setups, this system offers the potential for outsized returns. It comes with high volatility and large portfolio swings, making it an ideal resource for traders seeking aggressive growth and who are comfortable taking on higher levels of risk.
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The HODL Hero’s Portfolio is a long-term investing strategy aimed at achieving substantial returns by holding high-quality stocks for extended periods. Risk is managed using advanced options strategies. This long-term portfolio does not use the R system for risk management, meaning it can experience larger drawdowns. This portfolio is a resource for long term investors focused on long-term growth and who are willing to embrace more volatility.
Disclaimer: Each portfolio in the RLT Newsletter is a hypothetical paper trading account. Real Life Trading and its analysts use these portfolios as an educational tool. It’s important to note that Real Life Trading nor its analysts are actively managing live, real-money portfolios. The analysts and moderators may or may not trade any of the given equities.
CFTC Rule 4.41: These results are based on hypothetical or simulated performance results with inherent limitations. Unlike actual performance records, these results do not represent real trading. Because these trades haven't been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact of certain market factors, such as the lack of liquidity. Hypothetical or simulated trading programs are designed with the benefit of hindsight, and no representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.
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The past two weeks have felt like the world is unraveling as volatility surges and the markets finally experience real selling. Many high-flying momentum names like PLTR and APP have been slammed back down to earth, shedding 35% to 50% in a matter of days. Yet, despite the chaos, the SPY is only 7% off its all-time highs and resting on its 200-day SMA. The drop feels steeper because that 7% decline happened in just 15 trading days, with barely any relief from the selling.
SPY
The Magnificent 7, which we track closely, has been hit even harder, with many of our favorite stocks down 20% from their highs—TSLA and NVDA even more so. I’ve felt the palpable fear of this market firsthand as bounces never materialize and every level I expect to act as support gets sliced and diced immediately, as if the market were auditioning for a roll as Ghostface with a freshly sharpened blade. Many positions have hit stops or protection zones as tech stocks free fall. But despite the fear—or rather, because of it—the risk-reward setup at this moment is one of the best we’ve seen in months. Fear creates opportunity, and the more I analyze the charts, the clearer this potential opportunity becomes.
MAGS
It’s easy to forget the following principle when panic is in the air, but it remains true and is fundamental to good investing and swing trading: To outperform in the market, you must embrace the opportunities that fear creates, buy into the biggest dips, and aggressively manage your downside risk.
We haven’t seen this level of fear or risk-reward since August 5th. Buying then felt insane—the news was bad, the gaps were brutal, and the market looked like it was in free fall. But with a solid risk mitigation plan in place, the worst-case scenario was already accounted for. Instead of financial ruin, the worst-case was simply losing small if stops or protective puts triggered. But they didn’t. Instead, the market reversed, kicking off a relentless four-month rally that took us to many new highs.
The market is currently standing at a crossroads. Will the bulls regain control over this market or has the economic, and macro picture changed enough that it is finally the bears time to shine? The SPY and QQQ are both at their 200-day SMAs, key levels they haven’t touched since late 2023. The QQQ actually closed below this level on Thursday, breaking through Tuesday’s candle in a way that it really shouldn’t have. This raises the risk in the market and puts some fairly bearish scenarios on the table. However, it also allows for some stellar risk-reward opportunities for those willing and bold enough to grab this knife. For example, if QQQ drops to $484.00—where both the bull market trendline and a strong horizontal support lie—it would be 10% off its all-time highs and offer a 12% move back into new highs with a 3.5% downside risk. Individual big tech names present even better setups, as stocks like AMZN are sitting on key levels that could either trigger a small bounce, a large bounce, or a quick and small stop-out.
QQQ
The Dollar is finally falling back to earth, which should be a positive catalyst for both equities and Bitcoin. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has held up relatively well, at least so far, despite what was a fairly predictable "sell the news" event on Thursday night. For more insights on Bitcoin, key price levels, and the potential impact of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve on our favorite cryptocurrency, be sure to subscribe to our RLT Newsletter and join the discussion in our Slack channel!
DXY
Once again, this is a pivotal moment for the market as it stands on the razors edge. It’s oversold and looks primed for a bounce—even if only a short-lived one—but at the same time, it's teetering on the edge of triggering larger-scale bearish signals. Either support holds, leading to another grind higher, or we break down, opening the door for a much deeper flush. The key takeaway is that a strong bullish risk-reward setup is in place. By managing risk aggressively, one can position for the next major move, whether it's up or down. Worst case, support fails, which would lead to a small controlled loss. Best case, we see a meaningful bounce, allowing for collars to be put on longs, locking in risk-free trades into April. No matter what, staying sharp, adaptable, and prepared for the inevitable volatility will be key in navigating this unpredictable, news-driven market.
The past two weeks have felt like the world is unraveling as volatility surges and the markets finally experience real selling. Many high-flying momentum names like PLTR and APP have been slammed back down to earth, shedding 35% to 50% in a matter of days. Yet, despite the chaos, the SPY is only 7% off its all-time highs and resting on its 200-day SMA. The drop feels steeper because that 7% decline happened in just 15 trading days, with barely any relief from the selling.
SPY
The Magnificent 7, which we track closely, has been hit even harder, with many of our favorite stocks down 20% from their highs—TSLA and NVDA even more so. I’ve felt the palpable fear of this market firsthand as bounces never materialize and every level I expect to act as support gets sliced and diced immediately, as if the market were auditioning for a roll as Ghostface with a freshly sharpened blade. Many positions have hit stops or protection zones as tech stocks free fall. But despite the fear—or rather, because of it—the risk-reward setup at this moment is one of the best we’ve seen in months. Fear creates opportunity, and the more I analyze the charts, the clearer this potential opportunity becomes.
MAGS
It’s easy to forget the following principle when panic is in the air, but it remains true and is fundamental to good investing and swing trading: To outperform in the market, you must embrace the opportunities that fear creates, buy into the biggest dips, and aggressively manage your downside risk.
We haven’t seen this level of fear or risk-reward since August 5th. Buying then felt insane—the news was bad, the gaps were brutal, and the market looked like it was in free fall. But with a solid risk mitigation plan in place, the worst-case scenario was already accounted for. Instead of financial ruin, the worst-case was simply losing small if stops or protective puts triggered. But they didn’t. Instead, the market reversed, kicking off a relentless four-month rally that took us to many new highs.
The market is currently standing at a crossroads. Will the bulls regain control over this market or has the economic, and macro picture changed enough that it is finally the bears time to shine? The SPY and QQQ are both at their 200-day SMAs, key levels they haven’t touched since late 2023. The QQQ actually closed below this level on Thursday, breaking through Tuesday’s candle in a way that it really shouldn’t have. This raises the risk in the market and puts some fairly bearish scenarios on the table. However, it also allows for some stellar risk-reward opportunities for those willing and bold enough to grab this knife. For example, if QQQ drops to $484.00—where both the bull market trendline and a strong horizontal support lie—it would be 10% off its all-time highs and offer a 12% move back into new highs with a 3.5% downside risk. Individual big tech names present even better setups, as stocks like AMZN are sitting on key levels that could either trigger a small bounce, a large bounce, or a quick and small stop-out.
QQQ
The Dollar is finally falling back to earth, which should be a positive catalyst for both equities and Bitcoin. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has held up relatively well, at least so far, despite what was a fairly predictable "sell the news" event on Thursday night. For more insights on Bitcoin, key price levels, and the potential impact of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve on our favorite cryptocurrency, be sure to subscribe to our RLT Newsletter and join the discussion in our Slack channel!
DXY
Once again, this is a pivotal moment for the market as it stands on the razors edge. It’s oversold and looks primed for a bounce—even if only a short-lived one—but at the same time, it's teetering on the edge of triggering larger-scale bearish signals. Either support holds, leading to another grind higher, or we break down, opening the door for a much deeper flush. The key takeaway is that a strong bullish risk-reward setup is in place. By managing risk aggressively, one can position for the next major move, whether it's up or down. Worst case, support fails, which would lead to a small controlled loss. Best case, we see a meaningful bounce, allowing for collars to be put on longs, locking in risk-free trades into April. No matter what, staying sharp, adaptable, and prepared for the inevitable volatility will be key in navigating this unpredictable, news-driven market.
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