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Welcome to the RLT Newsletter
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At the RLT Newsletter, our mission is simple: to educate and empower ordinary people to take control of their financial futures and manage their investments with confidence. We strive to help regular individuals like you invest and protect their hard-earned money to build a better life for themselves and their families.
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Emails That Grow Your Wealth: How the RLT Newsletter Boosts Your Retirement Account and More
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Frequently Asked Questions
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You’ll receive 4 regular weekly emails on Monday, Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday. Additionally, you’ll receive occasional emails with portfolio updates as needed.
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Are the stocks reviewed in the Tuesday Top Trade Video part of the 4 portfolios?
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What is the Prosperity Portfolio?
The Prosperity Portfolio is a long-term swing trading system that focuses exclusively on the QQQ. This long-only strategy aims to outperform the market by staying out during bearish periods and remaining invested during bullish trends. Unlike traditional buy-and-hold strategies, it actively manages downside risk, making it ideal for long-term investors seeking steady growth with reduced volatility. With only a handful of trades each year, it’s a time-efficient resource for those who want to grow their portfolio without the need for frequent trading.
What is the YOLO MOMO Portfolio?
YOLO, short for “you only live once,” paired with MOMO, short for “momentum,” defines the essence of the YOLO MOMO Portfolio. This momentum-driven, aggressive swing trading strategy focuses on capturing significant moves in the market’s strongest-performing tech stocks. With an emphasis on relative strength and excellent risk-reward setups, this system offers the potential for outsized returns. It comes with high volatility and large portfolio swings, making it an ideal resource for traders seeking aggressive growth and who are comfortable taking on higher levels of risk.
What is the RL Swing Stalker Portfolio?
The RL Swing Stalker Portfolio is a short-term swing trading system that leverages advanced market scans to uncover opportunities. Using the R system for precise risk management, this strategy takes both bullish and bearish trades to maximize profit potential. It’s an ideal resource for active traders looking for a system with well-defined risk parameters and frequent trading opportunities.
What is the HODL Hero’s Portfolio?
The HODL Hero’s Portfolio is a long-term investing strategy aimed at achieving substantial returns by holding high-quality stocks for extended periods. Risk is managed using advanced options strategies. This long-term portfolio does not use the R system for risk management, meaning it can experience larger drawdowns. This portfolio is a resource for long term investors focused on long-term growth and who are willing to embrace more volatility.
DISCLAIMER - PLEASE READ BEFORE MAKING ANY RLT NEWSLETTER TRADES
Disclaimer: Each portfolio in the RLT Newsletter is a hypothetical paper trading account. Real Life Trading and its analysts use these portfolios as an educational tool. It’s important to note that Real Life Trading nor its analysts are actively managing live, real-money portfolios. The analysts and moderators may or may not trade any of the given equities.
CFTC Rule 4.41: These results are based on hypothetical or simulated performance results with inherent limitations. Unlike actual performance records, these results do not represent real trading. Because these trades haven't been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact of certain market factors, such as the lack of liquidity. Hypothetical or simulated trading programs are designed with the benefit of hindsight, and no representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.
Trading Risks: Real Life Trading LLC (“Company”) is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities customers should buy or sell for themselves. The independent contractors, employees or affiliates of Company may hold positions in the stocks, options, currencies or industries discussed here. You understand and acknowledge that there is a very high degree of risk involved in trading securities, options and/or currencies. The Company assumes no responsibility or liability for your trading and investment results. It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past results of any individual trader or trading system presented by the Company are not indicative of future returns by that trader or system, and are not indicative of future returns which will be realized by you. In addition, the indicators, strategies, and all other features of Company’s products (collectively, the “Information”) are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
MONEY MAKING BLOGS
Market Milestones: Bitcoin Breather
There are some signs that we’re nearing a correction. Sure, I’ve said this before—but this time I mean it. Ever since the May 12th gap, I’ve actually been pretty bullish, and the market has rewarded that view. But we’re once again seeing signs of exhaustion that are getting harder to ignore.
Take the QQQ, for example. It’s formed a rising wedge pattern over the past month, slowly grinding higher on declining volume, while also showing bearish RSI divergence. Could it still melt up into new all-time highs? Absolutely. But I don’t see a realistic path where it continues much higher without a sizable dip in the next month or two.
QQQ
SPY is showing a very similar setup—another rising wedge near all-time highs, hitting my 2015 analog target of $604. Just like QQQ, it’s making new highs on weaker volume and bearish RSI divergence. I could easily see a final pop to the $616 level, a new all-time high and my 2018 analog target, before a more meaningful pullback begins. The 2018 analog fits our current price action even better than the 2015 and 2020 analogs—and it aligns nicely with my Elliott Wave count. History tends to rhyme, and these analogs have been extremely useful when paired with Elliott Wave, support/resistance levels, long-term moving averages, and other forms of technical analysis that we do here at RLT.
SPY
Another yellow flag: market breadth. As SPY inches toward its all-time highs (less than 2% away as of Thursday), only about 50% of the stocks in the S&P 500 are above their 200-day SMA. That’s weak breadth for this bull run, and divergences are continuing to stack up. You can also see this in the equal-weighted S&P 500 (RSP), which is still 5% away from its all-time highs and hasn’t even broken its May high—unlike SPY. A lot of the names carrying this rally are extended and looking like they need a breather.
Percent of S&P 500 Stocks Above 200-Day SMA
Speaking of breathers—Bitcoin is pulling back as I write this. It’s now down three days in a row after retracing 88% of the May pullback—the exact level I highlighted last week in our Slack channel where we wanted to see it reject.
The key to the early June move up off the low is that it always stayed a 3-wave move and never developed into a 5-wave impulse. That signaled to me it was most likely a B wave—meaning a C wave to new lows is incoming. This vertical drop, ironically enough, keeps our super bullish wave count alive and suggests we may get to buy more in the $90,000s once again.
We are currently pulling back sharply because of the Israel-Iran conflict news, but the drop had already begun before that broke, signaling broader risk-off sentiment.
My BTC buy zone has remained unchanged since May 23: I’m looking to add between $98,000 and $92,000, with a hard line at $88,000 for major support. For IBIT, that translates to buying in the $56–$52 range, with a $50 line in the sand. Even in a less bullish scenario, I see a move back to around $123,456.78—about 30% upside from that zone. In the most bullish case? There’s potential for a 100% move from here… but shhhhhh, let’s not say that part too loud.
BTCUSD
If you’re thinking about YOLOing into it at these levels, just first ask yourself: why weren’t you buying at $85,000–$75,000 a few months ago? And why are you buying now? My guess is FOMO is playing a large role in that decision—and FOMO is a no-no when it comes to trading and investing.
Sure, the long-term potential is massive—I do think BTC will one day be seven-figures per coin—but that doesn't mean risk is low right here. If you can’t (or don’t want to) stomach a potential 50% - 70% drawdown—less than a typical crypto winter—be sure to manage your risk accordingly. This is a wonderful but very volatile asset. Respect the volatility, and plan your trades.
In conclusion, it’s impossible to predict exactly how the Israel-Iran conflict will unfold or how deeply it will impact global markets—but history is clear: wars are often moments where sharp sell-offs create some of the best buying opportunities. As unsettling as it sounds, major geopolitical shocks tend to shake out weak hands and reset risk. Even if this conflict doesn’t spark a larger correction, something else likely will in the next few weeks. And when it does, we’ll be ready—prepared to step in at better levels with far more attractive risk-reward across the board.
Market Milestones: Bitcoin Breather
There are some signs that we’re nearing a correction. Sure, I’ve said this before—but this time I mean it. Ever since the May 12th gap, I’ve actually been pretty bullish, and the market has rewarded that view. But we’re once again seeing signs of exhaustion that are getting harder to ignore.
Take the QQQ, for example. It’s formed a rising wedge pattern over the past month, slowly grinding higher on declining volume, while also showing bearish RSI divergence. Could it still melt up into new all-time highs? Absolutely. But I don’t see a realistic path where it continues much higher without a sizable dip in the next month or two.
QQQ
SPY is showing a very similar setup—another rising wedge near all-time highs, hitting my 2015 analog target of $604. Just like QQQ, it’s making new highs on weaker volume and bearish RSI divergence. I could easily see a final pop to the $616 level, a new all-time high and my 2018 analog target, before a more meaningful pullback begins. The 2018 analog fits our current price action even better than the 2015 and 2020 analogs—and it aligns nicely with my Elliott Wave count. History tends to rhyme, and these analogs have been extremely useful when paired with Elliott Wave, support/resistance levels, long-term moving averages, and other forms of technical analysis that we do here at RLT.
SPY
Another yellow flag: market breadth. As SPY inches toward its all-time highs (less than 2% away as of Thursday), only about 50% of the stocks in the S&P 500 are above their 200-day SMA. That’s weak breadth for this bull run, and divergences are continuing to stack up. You can also see this in the equal-weighted S&P 500 (RSP), which is still 5% away from its all-time highs and hasn’t even broken its May high—unlike SPY. A lot of the names carrying this rally are extended and looking like they need a breather.
Percent of S&P 500 Stocks Above 200-Day SMA
Speaking of breathers—Bitcoin is pulling back as I write this. It’s now down three days in a row after retracing 88% of the May pullback—the exact level I highlighted last week in our Slack channel where we wanted to see it reject.
The key to the early June move up off the low is that it always stayed a 3-wave move and never developed into a 5-wave impulse. That signaled to me it was most likely a B wave—meaning a C wave to new lows is incoming. This vertical drop, ironically enough, keeps our super bullish wave count alive and suggests we may get to buy more in the $90,000s once again.
We are currently pulling back sharply because of the Israel-Iran conflict news, but the drop had already begun before that broke, signaling broader risk-off sentiment.
My BTC buy zone has remained unchanged since May 23: I’m looking to add between $98,000 and $92,000, with a hard line at $88,000 for major support. For IBIT, that translates to buying in the $56–$52 range, with a $50 line in the sand. Even in a less bullish scenario, I see a move back to around $123,456.78—about 30% upside from that zone. In the most bullish case? There’s potential for a 100% move from here… but shhhhhh, let’s not say that part too loud.
BTCUSD
If you’re thinking about YOLOing into it at these levels, just first ask yourself: why weren’t you buying at $85,000–$75,000 a few months ago? And why are you buying now? My guess is FOMO is playing a large role in that decision—and FOMO is a no-no when it comes to trading and investing.
Sure, the long-term potential is massive—I do think BTC will one day be seven-figures per coin—but that doesn't mean risk is low right here. If you can’t (or don’t want to) stomach a potential 50% - 70% drawdown—less than a typical crypto winter—be sure to manage your risk accordingly. This is a wonderful but very volatile asset. Respect the volatility, and plan your trades.
In conclusion, it’s impossible to predict exactly how the Israel-Iran conflict will unfold or how deeply it will impact global markets—but history is clear: wars are often moments where sharp sell-offs create some of the best buying opportunities. As unsettling as it sounds, major geopolitical shocks tend to shake out weak hands and reset risk. Even if this conflict doesn’t spark a larger correction, something else likely will in the next few weeks. And when it does, we’ll be ready—prepared to step in at better levels with far more attractive risk-reward across the board.
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